Moore’s law is the observation that, over the history of computing hardware, the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years. The law is named after Gordon E. Moore, co-founder of Intel Corporation, who described the trend in his 1965 paper. His prediction has proven to be accurate, in part because the law is now used in the semiconductor industry to guide long-term planning and to set targets for research and development.
This staggering rate of development is driven by relentless and super funded R&D – it doesn’t “Just Happen”.
If battery technology were to improve at the same rate as computer technology from 1971, the energy density of a Ni-Cad battery of .04 kWh per kilo would today be some new whiz-bang battery capable of storing 400,000 kWh per kilo, recharge instantaneously, be dirt cheap and at the core of every form of electronic device, transport and industry.
So why is it that all we have today is the Lithium Ion Battery with a capacity of 0.17 kWh per kilo with only 4.25 times the capacity of Ni-Cad ?
You may think that battery technology presents some sort of special difficulty, but this is simply not the case. Fitting a Terra-byte of data onto your fingernail IS a special difficulty.
The Battery problem is virtually identical to that of computers – miniaturisation. It is well known that capacitors, a form of non-chemical battery that has unlimited recharge cycles and that can be re-charged instantaneously, are able to store electric charge in direct proportion to its ‘plate’ surface area. Phenomenal surface area can be engineered with miniaturisation, similar to that used in micro-chips.
No, we do not have 400,000 kWh batteries, indeed we do not have energy devices that freely extract their energy from the seething quantum field, because the century old energy monopoly has ensured that we do not have access to this sort of technology! It utterly threatens their monopoly.
Yet, given Moore’s Law has held true for computing power, it seems reasonable that it should do the same for energy technology – in particular battery storage. Its is simply applying the same staggering rate of development funding and R&D as computer technology – and preventing it from being wiped out again…
In light of this, let’s follow the fortunes of some current battery developments, such as:
These are some harbingers of the real potentials latent in Battery Technology R&D.
The most dramatic and disruptive energy tipping point is battery technology. A major game changer in this sphere will transform our World very quickly.
Using the UtraCapacitor, Electric Cars will have a range of 800+ km and recharge in minutes – as fast as filling up with petrol – and the batteries will outlast the car. However, I predict much greater performance in the near future.
Combine this with Solar/Wind etc storage and all solar system owners can recharge electric cars – their own and passing traffic.
People can install extra solar and have a way of storing it and selling to transport instead of being stuck with grid feed in.
Of course, this is one of a long line of extraordinary energy developments that have in the past been mercilessly stomped out by the energy monopoly. It is evident that the monopoly is resisting this tipping point with all resources at its disposal, which includes the manipulation of most Governments around the World.
Our Governments must be returned to service to its people, not the elite, not the energy monopoly. All the solutions to the Worlds energy, monetary, food, health and pollution problems have already been discovered. It is the will of the people that must assert itself and insist on the implementation of these solutions by its Governments and Industries.
How long will we accept the rule of the energy monopoly?
When will we insist that Moore’s Law is applied to solve all of our Worlds pressing problems?